Bills should meet any price to get their QB
The New York Jets were the talk of the upcoming draft last weekend after trading up three spots with the Indianapolis Colts to #3, in exchange for the sixth overall pick, two second-round picks (37 and 49), along with an a third-round selection in 2019.
Many speculate the Jets will go quarterback, considering the price they paid to move up just three spots and the fact they are in need of a franchise QB, despite re-signing last year’s starter Josh McCown and bringing in former Minnesota Viking Teddy Bridgewater.
So, where does that leave the Bills?
The top six as it sits today is:
- Cleveland Browns
- New York Giants
- New York Jets
- Cleveland Browns
- Denver Broncos
- Indianapolis Colts
According to the Draft Value Chart, the Colts #3 pick was worth 2200 points. The Jets gave up 2540 points in draft positions just this year, and roughly 2800 points factoring in next year’s third-round pick.
The Jets overpaid, by a good margin, to move up three spots. The question now is how will the Jets trade influence how much the Bills might have to give up for a top five pick?
The two spots to look for are #2 and #4. All indications say the Browns are not serious about trading away pick #1, and #3 is obviously off the table after the Jets/Colts trade. The Broncos could make a trade but the Browns are a more likely candidate, since they have the #1 pick and will likely select a QB.
Jeff Lloyd of “Locked on Browns” said that the Browns might be content with Carlos Hyde and Duke Johnson Jr. at running back this past Monday on Buffalo radio’s “The Blitz” sports program. This would mean they decide against Penn State back Saquon Barkley.
If the draft value chart is used again as comparable compensation, the Bills would need to get to at least 2600 points for #2 and 1800 for #4.
The #12 and #22 picks add up to just under 2000 points, and it’s highly unlikely Buffalo needs to give up anything more than an additional second or third-round pick to Cleveland for pick four.
But to get to #2, the Bills would need to give up either two second-round picks or a combination of a second and third-round pick, along with #12 and #22, to get up to #2. That would equate to 2600 points, which is what #2 is worth.
But after the Jets trade, the Giants might hold some more leverage on teams like the Bills who want in the top five. Giants general manager Dave Gettleman might insist on #12, #22 and next year’s first, which would put the Bills over 3000 points in draft value. The Bills have two second and third-round picks this year — they have the most assets to give teams in the top five or six.
If the Giants want an additional first-round pick or more compensation than the aforementioned draft value chart says, should Brandon Beane give in?
The answer to that would be different for certain teams, but for the Bills the answer is yes. Meet the price it takes to get the franchise QB the team has needed for the entire 2000s.
For a team coming off its first playoff appearance in 17 years, along with trading away Tyrod Taylor, it’s perfectly logical they are aware of its importance, and to take advantage of a draft class with five quarterbacks who should go in the first round and four who could go in the top 10.
When it comes to quarterback, no additional first-round or second-round picks outweigh a Josh Rosen, Josh Allen, Sam Darnold or Baker Mayfield. The Bills should do what they have to in order to get their QB.